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NYT: Climate Deal Badly Needs a Big Stick

Few economists are as versed in the global diplomatic effort to combat climate change as Nicholas Stern of Britain.

So it was particularly distressing to hear him say, at a debate in New York a few weeks ago, that the international effort to achieve a worldwide climate agreement in Paris next December is already falling short on its most critical goal. The various pledges by nations to cut their emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases, he noted, will not be enough to prevent the Earth’s temperature from rising beyond the level scientists consider the tipping point to devastating environmental disruption.

… Such failure indicates that getting countries to make the costly but necessary investments to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions will require more than diplomacy. It will require a big stick.

… Climate change is tougher. For one thing, it will be more costly for a country to limit emissions of greenhouse gases. The benefits will be shared by the entire world. Moreover, the threshold for devastating consequences is uncertain. For many, the optimal strategy will be to lie low and reap the gains as so-called free riders.

While countries might cooperate if they were absolutely certain of the tipping point that led to catastrophe, climate science doesn’t work like that. Experiments by Professor Barrett and Astrid Dannenberg from the University of Gothenburg in Sweden have found that where there is uncertainty, free-riding becomes irresistible, cooperation breaks down and catastrophe occurs.
– New York Times: Climate Deal Badly Needs a Big Stick.
» IG: 17-06-10_nyt-climatedealneedsbigstick.

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Collective Change, Clarity of Language Enable Trust & Cooperation

• When Actions required of individuals for collective change are Clear and unambiguous, trust and incentives for cooperation are strong; and the chances are greater that such change can be implemented and enforced.
• When Actions required of individuals, groups or nations for collective change, are Vague and Ambiguous; cheating and free riding results; and the chances are low to non-existent that such change can be implemented and enforced.

» SQSwans: Astrid Dannenberg.
» IG: 17-06-10_nyt-climatedealneedsbigstick.

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Genghis Khan the Green Effect:

Genghis Khan The Green EoP Reforestation Effect:

If EoP Cop21/CPAC17 Root Cause Problem Solving Implemented for humane deindustrialization and depopulation; it would have greater positive effects on re-forestation, biodiversity and climate change than the extremely violent depopulation implemented by Genghis Khan the Green.

Genghis Khan has been branded the greenest invader in history – after his murderous conquests killed so many people that huge swathes of cultivated land returned to forest. The Mongol leader, who established a vast empire between the 13th and 14th centuries, helped remove nearly 700 million tons of carbon from the atmosphere, claims a new study. The deaths of 40 million people meant that large areas of cultivated land grew thick once again with trees, which absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. And, although his methods may be difficult for environmentalists to accept, ecologists believe it may be the first ever case of successful manmade global cooling.

Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline. The Black Death, on the other hand, came and went too quickly for it to cause much of a blip in the global carbon budget. Dwarfing both of these events, however, has been the historical trend towards increasing deforestation, which over centuries has released vast amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, as crop and pasture lands expanded to feed growing human populations. Even Genghis Kahn couldn’t stop it for long.

“.. humans started to influence the environment thousands of years ago by changing the vegetation cover of the Earth‘s landscapes when we cleared forests for agriculture.”

— Coupled climate–carbon simulations indicate minor global effects of wars and epidemics on atmospheric CO2 between AD 800 and 18501 study by Julia Pongratz; article: Genghis Khan the GREEN: Invader killed so many people that carbon levels plummeted; Carnegie: War, Plague No Match for Deforestation in Driving CO2 Buildup.
– IGN: Genghis Khan the GREEN: Invader killed so many people that carbon levels plummeted.
» IG: 17-03-01_genghiskhangreen-eopscevolution; 17-06-10_nyt-climatedealneedsbigstick

Derrick Jensen: Open Letter to Reclaim Environmentalism:
One sign of intelligence is the ability to recognize patterns: let’s lay out a pattern and see if we can recognize it in less than 10,000 years. When you think of Iraq, do you think of cedar forests so thick that sunlight never touches the ground? That’s how it was prior to the beginnings of this culture. The Near East was a forest. North Africa was a forest. Greece was a forest. All pulled down to support this [War is Penis] culture.
– [EoP Amended] Derrick Jensen: Open Letter to Reclaim Environmentalism.
» IG: 17-03-01_genghiskhangreen-eopscevolution; 17-06-10_nyt-climatedealneedsbigstick

EoP Submissions to Cop 21 & CPAC 2017:
– EoP CoP 21: eop-cop21.tygae.org.za
– EoP CPAC17: eop-cpac17.tygae.org.za.
» IG: 17-03-01_genghiskhangreen-eopscevolution; 17-06-10_nyt-climatedealneedsbigstick.

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EoP FT Bragg: Whom Should be Removed from Planetary Lifeboat Genepool?

In US Army’s Lifeboat Ethics while not explicitly stated in the course material; that – in terms ofecological overshoot resource depletion tipping points and resource conflict – all nations on Earth’s resource lifeboats are not only full; but shrinking  so now the decision is not ‘whom to let in’ but ‘whom should be removed from the lifeboat aka national genepool; how should they be removed; how many should be removed; by whom and when should they be removed’?
» EoP Leg Sub: 25 Jan: USAR Ft Bragg: Culture Change to EoP Honour Ecofootprint Shrinking Lifeboat Ethics?.
» IG: 17-06-11_eopabolishfarm-wipoligarchlrfactoryfarm.

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The Only Operative Question is: Whom Should the Military Kill?

In US Army’s Lifeboat Ethics while not explicitly stated in the course material; that – in terms ofecological overshoot resource depletion tipping points and resource conflict – all nations on Earth’s resource lifeboats are not only full; but shrinking so now the decision is not ‘whom to let in’ but ‘whom should be removed from the lifeboat aka national genepool; how should they be removed; how many should be removed; by whom and when should they be removed’?

Our dilemma is that of defining just and unjust actions within our wars and conflicts. It is time to reexamine habits that have come to pass for ethics and ask the sort of questions that are as controversial as they are uncomfortable to the man or woman of conscience … We must reexamine our concepts of the ethical and the legal. .. Traditionalists who decry even the possibility of attacking these sources of human misery in such a manner generally do so from campuses or comfortable offices. …. crying out that such a doctrine would amount to giving our military, .. a license to kill. But the purpose of a military is to kill, and if you cannot stomach that, you should not have a military. The only operative question is whom the military should kill.
» 17-06-11_eopabolishfarm-wipoligarchlrfactoryfarm.

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WiP Racial/Religious/Ideological Civilian Activists Ansa:

Kill my [Racial/Religious/Ideological Defined Enemy] i.e. Racists / Kikes / Zionists / Muslims / Christians / Crackers / Spicks / Niggers / Nationalists / Commies / Capitalists.
» IG: 17-06-11_eopabolishfarm-wipoligarchlrfactoryfarm.

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EoP Scientific & Cultural Law Civilian Activists EoP TRC [Truth & Reconciliation] Ansa:

Give the Breeding/Consumption Scarcity Combatants – of all races, religions and classes – the opportunity to take personal responsibility for their former Breeding/Consumption aboveEcological Carrying Capacity limits transgressions; by cooperating to implement an EoP intn’l law social contract; that (a) requires all citizens of all races, religions, nations, to breed and consume below ecological carrying capacity limits; or be humanely eliminated from the planetary genepool; (b) nationalizes all property and provides all responsible freedom oath citizens a property ration to enable their shelter and survival self-sufficiency to enable the rebuilding of a relocalized sustainable future.
» IG: 17-06-11_eopabolishfarm-wipoligarchlrfactoryfarm.

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Revolution in Military Ethics: Whom should the Military Kill?

Our dilemma is that of defining just and unjust actions within our wars and conflicts. It is time to reexamine habits that have come to pass for ethics and ask the sort of questions that are as controversial as they are uncomfortable to the man or woman of conscience … We must reexamine our concepts of the ethical and the legal. .. The whispered warning that we do not condone “assassinations” because we do not want our own leader assassinated is a counsel of unspeakable cowardice. First, if leaders will not risk the fate they ask of their privates, they are not fit to lead their people. Second, if foreign criminals, official or private, knew that retribution would be generally swift and always sure, attacks on US leaders — or US citizens overall — would likely decrease wonderfully. And such a policy would return us once again to an objectively moral path.

These issues demand serious debate. Traditionalists who decry even the possibility of attacking these sources of human misery in such a manner generally do so from campuses or comfortable offices. They are out of contact with our citizenry and its needs, as they are phenomenally out of contact with the sheer violence of this world. They will immediately push the issue to absurd extremes, crying out that such a doctrine would amount to giving our military, .. a license to kill. But the purpose of a military is to kill, and if you cannot stomach that, you should not have a military.

The only operative question is whom the military should kill.
»» Col Ralph Peters: Revolution in Military Ethics
» IG: 17-05-30_eopftbragg-milethicsqa; 17-06-10_nyt-climatedealneedsbigstick; 17-06-11_eopabolishfarm-wipoligarchlrfactoryfarm.

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