20-06-03_Covid_FlattenCurve

Large: 20-06-03_Covid_FlattenCurve

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The science of the coronavirus is not disputed. It is well documented and openly admitted: * Most people won’t get the virus. * Most of the people who get it won’t display symptoms. * Most of the people who display symptoms will only be mildly sick. * Most of the people with severe symptoms will never be critically ill. * And most of the people who get critically ill will survive. – Off Guardian: UK Chief Medic confirms (again) covid19 harmless to vast majority; “It’s all Bullsh*t” – 3 Leaks that Sink the Covid Narrative.
» EoP Leg Sub: 02 Jun: EoP Req for Info Re Blitsdruk Covid-19 policies.

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Exponential Growth & Degrowth:
* Growth: Bartlett: Arithmetic, Population and Energy, Crash Course: Exponential Growth & Power of Compounding; World Population Balance: Understanding Exponential Growth; Growth Busters: Limits to Growth: Bacteria in a Bottle.
* Degrowth: China Great Leap Forward: 1958-1961: enabled population Degrowth/Reduction from 56 million to 41 million [IG: Chefurka World Pop Growth: 1910 – 2010]. Climate change benefits via reforestation due to depopulation are massive [The Guardian: European colonization of America’s killed so many it cooled Earth’s climate: SQ Copy; Daily Mail: Genghis Khan the GREEN: Invader killed so many people that carbon levels plummeted: SQ Copy].

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Is the R factor in epidemiology; the same as EROI of energy studies?:
You may be surprised to discover that epidemiological models share the same basic core of peak oil models. And it is not just about peak oil, the same models are used to describe chemical reactions, resource depletion, the fishing industry, the diffusion of memes on the Web, and even the nuclear chain reaction that leads to nuclear explosions. It is always the same idea: reinforcing feedbacks lead the system to grow in a frenzy of exploitation of an available resource: oil, fish, atomic nuclei, or people to be infected. In the end, it is perhaps the most typical way the universe uses dissipate potentials. As always, entropy rules everything!. Modeling these phenomena has a story that starts with the model developed in the 1920s by Vito Volterra and Alfred Lotka. They go under the name of “Lotka-Volterra” models or, sometimes, “Prey-Predator” models. This heritage is not normally recognized by people in the field of epidemiology, but the model is the same: the virus is a predator and we are the prey. The only difference is that an epidemic cycle is so short, typically a few months, that the prey, people, don’t reproduce during the cycle. Then, if you think that oil companies are predators and oil fields are the prey, then we have again the same model. Finally, you can see the atomic chain reaction that takes place during fission as generated by neutrons acting as predators and atomic nuclei acting as prey. – Cassandra Legacy: A question you always wanted to ask but you never had the time to: Is the EROI of energy studies the same as the R factor in epidemiology?.

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EROI Health Care Systems

EROI Soil Not Oil v Brent Crude.
» IG: 20-02-29_eopvwip_charleshall-eroi-pyramid

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Are Humans as EROI Curve Dumb as Yeast?
Put yeast in grape juice and it grows rapidly, until it consumes all of the sugar food source. Yeast excrement (alcohol) is toxic and kills the yeast. So it is with humanitys Fossil Fuel Based Society. We have nearly exhausted our non-renewable energy source, and its toxic output is killing us all.
» IG: humans-single-cellbacteria-yeast

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The good news is that—also unlike the woodland wasp which overbreeds and overconsumes his habitat’s resources and befouls it with his shit—humans are gifted by the potential for self-awareness and intelligent choice, and knowing our circumstances is an invitation to change. The first step toward reducing our ecological impact is to recognize that the environmental crisis” is less an environmental and technical problem than it is a behavioral and social one. It can therefore be resolved only with the help of behavioral and social solutions. On a finite planet, at human carrying capacity, a society driven mainly by selfish individualism has all the potential for sustainability of a collection of angry scorpions in a bottle. – Our Ecological Footprint, by William Rees & Mathis Wackernagil; SS DEFCON: Jay Hanson et al: Social Contract Evolution: Ecology of Peace or War is Peace Maximum Power Principle social contract evolution?.

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Albert Bartlett: The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential growth/degrowth function.
Exponential growth / degrowth work the same way. If exponential growth is the strongest force in history [Bartlett: Arithmetic, Population and Energy, Crash Course: Exponential Growth & Power of Compounding; World Population Balance: Understanding Exponential Growth; Growth Busters: Limits to Growth: Bacteria in a Bottle], exponential degrowth is the equal and opposite strongest force with which to fight exponential growth. Racial, religious, class and gender ecological overshoot resource conflict is a direct consequence of exponential population / consumption growth; which is a direct consequence of exponential function illiterate international law legislation allowing it to occur. Similarly EoP SciCult international law orderly and humane exponential population degrowth can be a direct consequence of exponential function literate lawmakers legislation. China Great Leap Forward: 1958-1961: enabled population Degrowth/Reduction from 56 million to 41 million [IG: Chefurka World Pop Growth: 1910 – 2010]. Climate change benefits via reforestation due to depopulation are massive [The Guardian: European colonization of America’s killed so many it cooled Earth’s climate: SQ Copy; Daily Mail: Genghis Khan the GREEN: Invader killed so many people that carbon levels plummeted: SQ Copy]. In the context of current massive ecological overshoot and climate change, mitigation requires not ‘zero carbon footprints’, but negative – degrowth – carbon footprints. EoP SciCult law – based on EoP Footprint – advocates for (a) a global one child law, which is a negative – 50% degrowth – procreation footprint law [Oregon Univ: Murtaugh: Every child increases a parents carbon footprint by a factor of 20: SQ Copy]; combined with a (b) zero carbon footprint consumption law. In combination they are an End Ecocide 25% degrowth carbon footprint’ international law policy. When population reaches ecological carrying capacity limits, the one child law can become a two child law, whereupon the law will be a zero carbon footprint law. Similarly as population decreases, individuals property rations are allowed to increase; until carrying capacity limits where property rations no longer increase, and population and consumption growth are both at zero percent, slightly lower than ecological carrying capacity limits.
» EoP Leg Sub: 19 May: EoP TRC Info for Kyle Kulinski, Sean Duffy R-WI & Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D-NY; 23 Feb: EoP Objective Honesty Errors in JP Morgan ‘Risky Business’ Climate Report.

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Volterra & Lotka Prey and Predator Studies:
Societies who engage in totalitarian agriculture [Daniel Quinn: Totalitarian Agriculture], engage in Predator-Prey Growth and Collapse of Civilization/Empire cycles: Greco-Rome, Minoan, Mycenaean, Sumerians, Akkadian, Assyrian, Babylonian, Achaemenid, Seleucid, Zhou, Han, Tang, Song, Parthian, Sassanid, Umayyad, Abbasid, Mauryan, Gupta, Maya, Hittite, Harrapan and Teotihuacan. Collapses result from (1) Ecological Strain and (2) Economic Stratification and include the disappearance of between 90-99% of the populations (from famine, disease and organized violence resource wars) including their kings, Gods, calendars and other complex political and cultural institutions. Economic Stratification Collapse occurs due to unequal consumption of resources generating Elites vs Commoners. As Elites become sizable and keep growing, they consume more; their over-exploitation results in collapse of resources to the Commoners; who experience famine and collapse. Elites — due to their wealth — do not suffer the detrimental effects of environmental collapse until much later than Commoners, which allows them to continue ‘business as usual’, despite the impending catastrophe; explaining how historical collapses were allowed to occur by seemingly oblivious elites (eg Roman & Mayan cases).
» Military Gospel: Human and Nature Dynamics [mg-nasa.tygae.org.za]: 11 Feb: NASA: Human and nature dynamics (HANDY): Modeling inequality and use of resources in the collapse or sustainability of societies. IG: 14-03-14_ss_defcon-aws.

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